| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? |
未知 |
0.490 |
0.510 |
$93626 |
$34382 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
未知 |
0.525 |
0.475 |
$99940 |
$25352 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
结算中 |
0.783 |
0.217 |
$88559 |
$14150 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
结算中 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$92819 |
$23757 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
结算中 |
0.989 |
0.011 |
$946196 |
$105090 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? |
结算中 |
0.174 |
0.826 |
$86156 |
$73589 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? |
2时6分 |
0.560 |
0.440 |
$86105 |
$2439 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? |
2时6分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$93959 |
$55626 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? |
74时6分 |
0.003 |
0.997 |
$91391 |
$44789 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31? |
302时5分 |
0.029 |
0.972 |
$97267 |
$12040 |
详情 ↗ |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
322时5分 |
0.950 |
0.050 |
$90492 |
$58394 |
详情 ↗ |
| Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31? |
322时5分 |
0.001 |
1.000 |
$93552 |
$16654 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
442时6分 |
0.994 |
0.006 |
$90801 |
$75774 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
610时6分 |
0.969 |
0.032 |
$96462 |
$104909 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
610时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$939296 |
$103702 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
682时6分 |
0.007 |
0.993 |
$9400520 |
$958817 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
778时6分 |
0.155 |
0.845 |
$96548 |
$53214 |
详情 ↗ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
1018时6分 |
0.021 |
0.979 |
$93979 |
$80825 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? |
1042时1分 |
0.090 |
0.910 |
$93189 |
$7089 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? |
1042时5分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$88633 |
$71523 |
详情 ↗ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
1042时5分 |
0.305 |
0.695 |
$860126 |
$107118 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
1114时6分 |
0.635 |
0.365 |
$8653805 |
$530519 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
1114时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$9947395 |
$324285 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
1258时6分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$866731 |
$94238 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
1258时6分 |
0.026 |
0.974 |
$905056 |
$79562 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
1258时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$904450 |
$124228 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
1834时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$87728 |
$16377 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? |
1834时6分 |
0.955 |
0.045 |
$88781 |
$11897 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
1834时6分 |
0.905 |
0.095 |
$93640 |
$16924 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? |
1834时6分 |
0.945 |
0.055 |
$93610 |
$15839 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? |
2698时6分 |
0.004 |
0.996 |
$87683 |
$20036 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? |
3226时6分 |
0.004 |
0.997 |
$96352 |
$49821 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
3226时6分 |
0.229 |
0.771 |
$96293 |
$13179 |
详情 ↗ |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
3226时6分 |
0.280 |
0.720 |
$94797 |
$5643 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
3226时6分 |
0.007 |
0.993 |
$944785 |
$92599 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
3226时6分 |
0.115 |
0.885 |
$88473 |
$18564 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
3226时6分 |
0.250 |
0.750 |
$86750 |
$1013 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
3226时6分 |
0.895 |
0.105 |
$86593 |
$25839 |
详情 ↗ |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
3226时6分 |
0.095 |
0.905 |
$86301 |
$11960 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
3226时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$9175024 |
$230641 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
3226时6分 |
0.069 |
0.931 |
$90931 |
$6828 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? |
3226时6分 |
0.044 |
0.956 |
$94261 |
$37904 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
3226时6分 |
0.029 |
0.971 |
$936364 |
$22715 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
3226时6分 |
0.295 |
0.705 |
$92698 |
$1452 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
3226时6分 |
0.005 |
0.995 |
$918142 |
$96060 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
3226时6分 |
0.066 |
0.934 |
$98923 |
$24033 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? |
3248时6分 |
0.090 |
0.910 |
$92059 |
$15871 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
3250时5分 |
0.115 |
0.885 |
$86677 |
$25481 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
3250时5分 |
0.018 |
0.982 |
$994764 |
$74708 |
详情 ↗ |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? |
3250时5分 |
0.055 |
0.945 |
$98946 |
$25440 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? |
12010时5分 |
0.120 |
0.880 |
$99211 |
$2291 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19474时6分 |
0.016 |
0.984 |
$9571728 |
$649265 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
19474时6分 |
0.050 |
0.951 |
$9550500 |
$501837 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
19474时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$948077 |
$1563633 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19474时6分 |
0.585 |
0.415 |
$946074 |
$191771 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19474时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$8719933 |
$1978912 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19474时6分 |
0.036 |
0.964 |
$8714405 |
$322287 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19474时6分 |
0.003 |
0.998 |
$8699700 |
$1686174 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19474时6分 |
0.002 |
0.999 |
$890843 |
$633998 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19474时6分 |
0.003 |
0.997 |
$8884100 |
$1935462 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
19474时6分 |
0.022 |
0.978 |
$9421111 |
$367994 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
19474时6分 |
0.032 |
0.969 |
$9707581 |
$540000 |
详情 ↗ |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? |
21250时6分 |
0.630 |
0.370 |
$89702 |
$34660 |
详情 ↗ |